We Have Revised Our Estimates Somewhat Downwards

Introduction: The coronavirus scare has had a narrative arc. There were the initial troubling reports out of China. Then there was time when the alarm was sounded on the basis of the kind of sensational modeling that has a genius for the limelight. Battle was joined, as this was clearly the moral equivalent of war. …

In Which I Consider the Propriety of Tying a Bandanna Around My Head and Coming Off the Top Ropes

Introduction: I speak, of course, in metaphors. Yesterday the prime minister of India put a billion people, more or less, into lock down. He did this because there was a "spike" in cases -- ...

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Three Reasons Why the White House Must Refuse to Panic

Introduction: I can only imagine what kind of pressure the White House is currently getting, and when the imagination gets going, I think I can describe for you what kind of doomsday scenarios are being played out for them and run by them, with graphs, pie charts, oscillating models on computer screens, and all the …

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